Kentucky-Kansas: Great for the game
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Kansas was getting blown out by Ohio State Saturday, but rallied in the second half to win. Kentucky meanwhile handled Louisville, turning back repeated Cardinal runs to advance.
The Jayhawks improved their record as an underdog, while the Wildcats faltered for bettors, just failing to cover 8.5 points. The Final Four odds reflect the talent disparity in this game, but Kansas continues to produce scrappy efforts with superior hustle and conditioning.
Over the past 10 games for each team, the stats are almost identical. The average score for Kentucky is 73-62. For Kansas, it's 74-63. The average margin of victory is almost identical.
This game could come down to offensive rebounding where Kansas is ggressive and Kentucky vulnerable. [ Bet Kansas vs Kentucky at PC
If nothing else, it offers Kansas the chance to stay close to Kentucky and to blunt some of their scoring runs.
Kentucky beat Kansas 75-65 in November, but that was a preseason battle with little bearing on this match. In the three previous meetings, Kansas won and covered each time dating to 2005.
The Wildcats sit at 37-2 (16-21-1 ATS) on the season. By comparison, the Jayhawks are currently 32-6 (19-17-1 ATS). Looking to wager on the totals? Kentucky is 16-19-2 OU, and Kansas is 14-22-1 OU.
View Kansas vs Kentucky Odds and Stats.
Betting Line:
The Jayhawks opened as 6-point underdogs at many online sportsbooks and it was bet up to -6.5 quickly at 5Dimes. The total opened at 139.5 at TopBet.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Odds Shark Power Rankings have the Wildcats at No. 2 and the Jayhawks at No. 8 heading into this contest. Handicapping models at Odds Shark project a 85-81 result in favor of the Wildcats.
How They Match Up:
Rating these schools in several key categories is important for handicappers and Kentucky has the nation's No. 15-rated offensive output, at 77.6 PPG. The visiting Jayhawks defense ranks No. 42 allowing on average 61.6 PPG. The Wildcats FG% has averaged 49% so far, more than the Jayhawks marksmen have achieved on the year, 47.5% per game.
Defensively, Kansas features the nation's No. 18-rated defense on the road, allowing 61.5 points per game. Kentucky, meanwhile, comes in at No. 25 nationally in scoring at home.
Kansas was a 64-62 winner in their most recent outing at home against Ohio State. They covered the 3-point spread as underdogs. The Jayhawks grabbed a 64-62 win over the Buckeyes on Saturday, behind a 19-point effort from Thomas Robinson at Mercedes-Benz Superdome.
Kentucky was a 69-61 winner in their most recent outing at home against Louisville. They earned a push of the 8-point spread as favorites. The Wildcats grabbed a 69-61 win over the Cardinals on Saturday, behind an 18 -point effort from Anthony Davis at Mercedes-Benz Superdome.
After a disjointed season rocked by scandal and suspensions and an NCAA tournament with limited drama and no buzzer-beaters, we end up on the basketball court-turned-stage with Kentucky and Kansas. That's Kentucky, with 2,089 wins, good for No. 1 all-time. And Kansas, with 2,070 wins, ranking second all-time. It's as if James Naismith and Adolph Rupp got together on St. Peter's court and said, "Enough. Let's give the folks what they want." This is a national championship built for both the basketball die-hard and the hoops neophyte, a perfect marriage of old-school tradition and current day name branding. Those reared in the cradle of college basketball will love this game for its history, for a nostalgic past that somehow has gotten mucked up amid NBA age limits that rob the sport of dynasty building.
And the newbies, the ones who don't know Danny Manning from Peyton, will appreciate seeing the best of the best, even if their college tenure is short-lived. But everyone knows that there are certain places where college basketball matters most. Two of those places are Lawrence and Lexington. "Kentucky and Kansas, Rupp and Allen, Naismith and Rupp," Kentucky coach John Calipari said. "It should be an exciting game." And it's a game that is good for the game. Sports are best when the best are good. Does anyone really care if the Marlins win the World Series? Not really. We are a society that consumes excellence and idolizes greatness. We embrace upstarts but ultimately, we love the blue bloods and these two blue-wearing schools are as royally blooded as they get. "I dreamed about [a matchup with Kentucky] as soon as I saw the brackets," Kansas coach Bill Self said. "I said, 'How cool would it be to play Kentucky in the finals?' "I do think it's pretty neat that you have the two winningest programs of all time hooking up. The bluest of the blue bloods getting a chance to play." Kansas and Kentucky are sepia-toned history pages come to life, places where you can blow the musty odor off the reference books and practically feel the past seeping through the pages. There's Wilt Chamberlain and Dan Issel, The Unforgettables and Danny Manning and the Miracles. From all-time wins to most appearances in the Final Four (Kentucky 15, Kansas 14) to national titles (seven for the Wildcats, three for the Jayhawks), the two programs own the game's history. Yet neither lives in the past, holding on to their laurels in the hope people will remember them. The two are as relevant today as they were back in the day. Kansas won a national title in 2008 and Kentucky played in the Final Four in 2011. And while their ardent fan bases might treat their players like rock stars and losses like familial tragedies, their reach extends beyond their alumni bases. This is what the game needs and craves and, frankly, deserves. Unfortunately the undercard storyline might dominate the conversation in the immediate afterglow -- whether this national title game will serve as a referendum on how to win in the current college basketball landscape. There are recyclables that will spend more time in Lexington than most of the current Wildcats roster. Within days of the national championship, most will announce their intention to move on to the next stage of their life, continuing a dizzying turnover that has hit UK since Calipari took over the program. Calipari won't apologize for capitalizing on the system, nor should he. It is not like he is the only one who tried to recruit Anthony Davis, Michael Kidd-Gilchrist and Marquis Teague. He merely got them. All of them. But if Kentucky wins, plenty of people will decry the end of college basketball as we know it. Meantime, Kansas is the throwback winner, a team that doesn't count a freshman or sophomore among its starting five. The Jayhawks came up the old-fashioned way, gaining minutes as they gained experience, getting better as they got accustomed to one another. That it is by default rather than design will get lost in the shuffle. The truth is, Bill Self lost two freshmen to academic ineligibility early and has had his share of one-and-dones, too. But his team, should it win, will be lauded as proof that building teams as opposed to assembling rosters is the way to go. And should all of that overshadow this national championship, it will be a shame. To quote every coach's favorite cliché, the game is what it is. For better or worse, it's not changing. So instead of bemoaning what might come, let's embrace what we have here: an epic title game, a rhapsody in blue if you will. As the song says, the ball goes up. And delightfully, it is Naismith and Rupp hosting the jump. 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